Lone'er Kavanagh vs Brandon Moreno: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · February 28, 2026
Result
Lone'er Kavanagh defeated Brandon Moreno by Decision - Unanimous in round 5 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh on February 28, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Lone'er Kavanagh as the favourite at 50%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Lone'er Kavanagh a 50% chance to beat Brandon Moreno (Brandon Moreno 50%).
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 61%, KO/TKO 22%, submission 17%. The most likely way this 5-round flyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 61%, over 1.5 rounds 88%, over 2.5 rounds 79%.
Key factors
- Brandon Moreno experience factor advantage
- Lone'er Kavanagh matchup patterns advantage
- Lone'er Kavanagh recent form trajectory advantage
Tale of the tape
| Lone'er Kavanagh | Brandon Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-2 | 12-7 |
| Age | 27 | 33 |
| Height | 5'4" (163 cm) | 5'7" (170 cm) |
| UFC fights | 5 | 19 |
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