Ian Machado Garry vs Islam Makhachev: Result and Prediction
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · August 15, 2026
Result
Islam Makhachev defeated Ian Machado Garry by Decision - Unanimous in round 5 (5:00) at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry on August 15, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Islam Makhachev as the favourite at 58%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Islam Makhachev a 58% chance to beat Ian Machado Garry (Ian Machado Garry 42%).
Makhachev's elite grappling and championship experience clash with Garry’s striking, making this bout a tantalizing test of whether youth can overcome seasoned composure and wrestling dominance.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 58%, submission 21%, KO/TKO 20%. The most likely way this 5-round welterweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 58%, over 1.5 rounds 86%, over 2.5 rounds 75%.
Key factors
- Makhachev grappling control advantage
- Makhachev striking power edge
- Makhachev experience in high-pressure fights
Tale of the tape
| Ian Machado Garry | Islam Makhachev | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-2 | 18-1 |
| Age | – | 35 |
| Height | – | 5'10" (178 cm) |
| Reach | – | 70" (178 cm) |
| Stance | – | Southpaw |
| UFC fights | 6 | 19 |
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