Brando Pericic vs Shamil Gaziev: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 2, 2026
Result
Brando Pericic defeated Shamil Gaziev by KO/TKO in round 2 (3:44) at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates on May 2, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Brando Pericic as the favourite at 57%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Brando Pericic a 57% chance to beat Shamil Gaziev (Shamil Gaziev 43%).
The betting market prices Brando Pericic at 54% (-132) and Shamil Gaziev at 46% (+108), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Brando Pericic than the bookmakers: 65% for Brando Pericic against the market's 54%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Pericic's elite striking and knockout threat clash with Gaziev's solid defense, but recent form and pressure could tilt the fight decisively in Pericic's favor.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 73%, decision 18%, submission 9%. The most likely way this 3-round heavyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 18%.
Key factors
- Pericic's striking power
- Gaziev's defensive skills
- Recent form disparity
Tale of the tape
| Brando Pericic | Shamil Gaziev | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-0 | 4-3 |
| Age | 32 | 36 |
| Height | 6'5" (196 cm) | 6'3" (191 cm) |
| UFC fights | 3 | 7 |
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