Francis Marshall vs Gaston Bolanos Prediction, Odds and Pick
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · October 31, 2026
Who wins Francis Marshall vs Gaston Bolanos?
FIGHT//AI gives Francis Marshall a 67% chance to beat Gaston Bolanos, who is at 33%. The headline number blends our machine-learning model with the betting market and fan sentiment.
Points fight at 56% probability. Marshall at 67% — volume and ring generalship will separate these two.
How the fight ends
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 56%, KO/TKO 27%, submission 17%. The most likely way this 3-round featherweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 56%, over 1.5 rounds 83%, over 2.5 rounds 72%.
Key factors
- Gaston Bolanos striking volume & accuracy advantage
- Francis Marshall grappling control advantage
- Francis Marshall matchup patterns advantage
Tale of the tape
| Francis Marshall | Gaston Bolanos | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Age | 28 | 34 |
| Height | 5'9" (175 cm) | 5'7" (170 cm) |
| UFC fights | 7 | 5 |
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