Gregory Rodrigues vs Anthony Hernandez: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · August 22, 2026
Result
Gregory Rodrigues defeated Anthony Hernandez by Decision - Unanimous in round 5 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues on August 22, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Gregory Rodrigues at only 40%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Anthony Hernandez a 60% chance to beat Gregory Rodrigues (Gregory Rodrigues 40%).
The betting market prices Gregory Rodrigues at 38% (+148) and Anthony Hernandez at 62% (-185), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Rodrigues rides a confidence-boosting winning streak into a clash with Hernandez, whose grappling prowess could offset Rodrigues' striking power and unwavering cardio in an intriguing stylistic contrast.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 40%, KO/TKO 39%, submission 21%. The most likely way this 5-round middleweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 40%, over 1.5 rounds 75%, over 2.5 rounds 59%.
Key factors
- Rodrigues cardio advantage in later rounds
- Hernandez grappling control potential
- Rodrigues striking power edge
Tale of the tape
| Gregory Rodrigues | Anthony Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 11-3 | 9-4 |
| Age | 35 | 33 |
| Height | 6'3" (191 cm) | 6'0" (183 cm) |
| UFC fights | 14 | 13 |
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