Nilson Rojas vs Bilal Hasan: Result and Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 29, 2026

Result

Bilal Hasan defeated Nilson Rojas by KO/TKO in round 2 (2:28) at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song on August 29, 2026.

The FIGHT//AI model had Bilal Hasan as the favourite at 74%, so the result went with the model.

Model prediction

The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Bilal Hasan a 74% chance to beat Nilson Rojas (Nilson Rojas 26%).

The betting market prices Nilson Rojas at 15% (+525) and Bilal Hasan at 85% (-833), with the bookmaker margin removed.

Our model is more positive on Nilson Rojas than the bookmakers: 41% for Nilson Rojas against the market's 15%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.

With both fighters boasting a striking knockout rate of 78% and equal output, this clash of heavy hitters could end in a flash, making every second of their bout dangerously electrifying.

How the model expected it to end

Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 69%, decision 28%, submission 3%. The most likely way this 3-round flyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.

Fight length: goes the distance 28%.

Tale of the tape

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