Wang Cong vs Tracy Cortez: Result and Prediction
UFC 329: Mcgregor vs. Holloway 2 · July 11, 2026
Result
Wang Cong defeated Tracy Cortez by Decision in round 3 at UFC 329: Mcgregor vs. Holloway 2 on July 11, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Wang Cong at only 49%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Tracy Cortez a 51% chance to beat Wang Cong (Wang Cong 49%).
The betting market prices Wang Cong at 52% (-120) and Tracy Cortez at 48% (-103), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Tracy Cortez than the bookmakers: 44% for Wang Cong against the market's 52%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Wang Cong's momentum and striking volume clash with Cortez's cardio and recent struggles, making this fight a compelling test of whether endurance can outlast striking prowess.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 68%, KO/TKO 21%, submission 11%. The most likely way this 3-round women's flyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 68%, over 1.5 rounds 91%, over 2.5 rounds 83%.
Key factors
- Cong momentum vs Cortez's struggles
- Cong striking volume advantage
- Cortez cardio edge in late rounds
Tale of the tape
| Wang Cong | Tracy Cortez | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-1 | 6-3 |
| Age | 34 | 33 |
| Height | – | 5'5" (165 cm) |
| UFC fights | 6 | 9 |
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