Kevin Vallejos vs Josh Emmett: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · March 14, 2026
Result
Kevin Vallejos defeated Josh Emmett by KO/TKO in round 1 (3:33) at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos on March 14, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Kevin Vallejos as the favourite at 70%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Kevin Vallejos a 70% chance to beat Josh Emmett (Josh Emmett 30%).
The betting market prices Kevin Vallejos at 81% (-547) and Josh Emmett at 19% (+401), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Josh Emmett than the bookmakers: 66% for Kevin Vallejos against the market's 81%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Vallejos riding a perfect 3-0 streak and Emmett struggling through back-to-back losses, this clash highlights a striking dynamo versus a seasoned wrestler trying to revive his career.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 50%, KO/TKO 37%, submission 13%. The most likely way this 5-round featherweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 50%.
Key factors
- Vallejos striking volume advantage
- Emmett experience in pressure moments
- Vallejos submission threat potential
Tale of the tape
| Kevin Vallejos | Josh Emmett | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 10-7 |
| Age | 25 | 42 |
| Height | 5'7" (170 cm) | 5'6" (168 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 17 |
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