Tyrell Fortune vs Rizvan Kuniev: Result and Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · July 25, 2026

Result

Rizvan Kuniev defeated Tyrell Fortune by KO/TKO in round 3 (1:12) at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov on July 25, 2026.

The FIGHT//AI model had Rizvan Kuniev as the favourite at 61%, so the result went with the model.

Model prediction

The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Rizvan Kuniev a 61% chance to beat Tyrell Fortune (Tyrell Fortune 39%).

The betting market prices Tyrell Fortune at 27% (+249) and Rizvan Kuniev at 73% (-332), with the bookmaker margin removed.

Our model is more positive on Tyrell Fortune than the bookmakers: 55% for Tyrell Fortune against the market's 27%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.

Fortune's striking power clashes with Kuniev's grappling finesse, setting the stage for a potential knockout or a grappling showcase in this evenly matched bout.

How the model expected it to end

Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 62%, decision 31%, submission 8%. The most likely way this 3-round heavyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.

Fight length: goes the distance 31%.

Key factors

• Fortune's KO power
• Kuniev's grappling control
• Cardio edge for Kuniev

Tale of the tape

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