Robert Valentin vs Julien Leblanc: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · April 18, 2026
Result
Robert Valentin defeated Julien Leblanc by Submission in round 1 (2:22) at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott on April 18, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Robert Valentin as the favourite at 51%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Robert Valentin a 51% chance to beat Julien Leblanc (Julien Leblanc 49%).
The betting market prices Robert Valentin at 59% (-161) and Julien Leblanc at 41% (+135), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Julien Leblanc than the bookmakers: 35% for Robert Valentin against the market's 59%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Valentin's grappling may struggle against LeBlanc's striking power and cardio, setting the stage for a potential finish in LeBlanc's favor.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 36%, submission 35%, decision 29%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 29%.
Key factors
- LeBlanc's striking power
- Valentin's grappling control
- LeBlanc's cardio advantage
Tale of the tape
| Robert Valentin | Julien Leblanc | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Age | 32 | 35 |
| Height | 6'2" (188 cm) | 6'2" (188 cm) |
| UFC fights | 5 | 1 |
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