Adrian Yanez vs Cody Garbrandt: Result and Prediction
UFC 329: Mcgregor vs. Holloway 2 · July 11, 2026
Result
Adrian Yanez defeated Cody Garbrandt by KO/TKO in round 1 (2:47) at UFC 329: Mcgregor vs. Holloway 2 on July 11, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Adrian Yanez as the favourite at 58%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Adrian Yanez a 58% chance to beat Cody Garbrandt (Cody Garbrandt 42%).
The betting market prices Adrian Yanez at 77% (-435) and Cody Garbrandt at 23% (+303), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Cody Garbrandt than the bookmakers: 45% for Adrian Yanez against the market's 77%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Yanez's striking volume pitted against Garbrandt's experience and grappling control, this clash could turn into a wild stand-up brawl or a strategic ground game chess match.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 51%, decision 37%, submission 12%. The most likely way this 3-round bantamweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 37%, over 1.5 rounds 71%, over 2.5 rounds 55%.
Key factors
- Yanez striking volume advantage
- Garbrandt grappling control edge
- Garbrandt experience factor
Tale of the tape
| Adrian Yanez | Cody Garbrandt | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 | 10-8 |
| Age | 33 | 35 |
| Height | 5'7" (170 cm) | 5'7" (170 cm) |
| UFC fights | 10 | 18 |
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