Ciryl Gane vs Alex Pereira: Result and Prediction
UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje · June 14, 2026
Result
Ciryl Gane defeated Alex Pereira by KO/TKO in round 2 (01:27:00) at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje on June 14, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Ciryl Gane at only 49%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Alex Pereira a 51% chance to beat Ciryl Gane (Ciryl Gane 49%).
The betting market prices Ciryl Gane at 49% (-107) and Alex Pereira at 51% (-114), with the bookmaker margin removed.
In a clash of elite strikers, Gane's defensive prowess and cardio may outlast Pereira's knockout power, setting the stage for a tactical battle with potential finishes.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 43%, KO/TKO 43%, submission 14%. The most likely way this 5-round heavyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 43%, over 1.5 rounds 80%, over 2.5 rounds 68%.
Key factors
- Pereira's KO power
- Gane's defensive skills
- Gane's cardio advantage
Tale of the tape
| Ciryl Gane | Alex Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 11-2 | 10-3 |
| Age | 36 | 39 |
| Height | 6'5" (196 cm) | 6'4" (193 cm) |
| Reach | – | 79" (201 cm) |
| Stance | – | Orthodox |
| UFC fights | 13 | 13 |
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