Quillan Salkilld vs Beneil Dariush: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 2, 2026
Result
Quillan Salkilld defeated Beneil Dariush by KO/TKO in round 1 (3:29) at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates on May 2, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Quillan Salkilld as the favourite at 58%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Quillan Salkilld a 58% chance to beat Beneil Dariush (Beneil Dariush 42%).
The betting market prices Quillan Salkilld at 78% (-470) and Beneil Dariush at 22% (+330), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Beneil Dariush than the bookmakers: 44% for Quillan Salkilld against the market's 78%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Dariush's elite grappling and striking power may exploit Salkilld's defensive gaps, but Salkilld's recent form and pressure could surprise the veteran.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 45%, KO/TKO 34%, submission 21%. The most likely way this 3-round lightweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 45%, over 1.5 rounds 73%, over 2.5 rounds 60%.
Key factors
- Dariush's grappling advantage
- Salkilld's defensive strength
- Recent momentum for Salkilld
Tale of the tape
| Quillan Salkilld | Beneil Dariush | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-0 | 17-8 |
| Age | 26 | 37 |
| Height | 6'0" (183 cm) | 5'10" (178 cm) |
| UFC fights | 6 | 25 |
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