Edgar Chairez vs Bruno Silva: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · June 6, 2026
Result
Edgar Chairez defeated Bruno Silva by Submission in round 1 (04:13:00) at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim on June 6, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Edgar Chairez as the favourite at 52%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Edgar Chairez a 52% chance to beat Bruno Silva (Bruno Silva 48%).
The betting market prices Edgar Chairez at 47% (+103) and Bruno Silva at 53% (-126), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Edgar Chairez than the bookmakers: 56% for Edgar Chairez against the market's 47%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Chairez's grappling and cardio should exploit Silva's defensive gaps, while Silva's knockout power remains a looming threat in this clash of styles.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 40%, KO/TKO 33%, submission 27%. The most likely way this 3-round flyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 40%, over 1.5 rounds 76%, over 2.5 rounds 61%.
Key factors
- Chairez's grappling control
- Silva's KO threat
- Chairez's cardio advantage
Tale of the tape
| Edgar Chairez | Bruno Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-3 | 9-13 |
| Age | 31 | 36 |
| Height | 5'7" (170 cm) | 6'0" (183 cm) |
| UFC fights | 7 | 22 |
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