Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita Prediction, Odds and Pick
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · November 14, 2026
Who wins Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita?
FIGHT//AI gives Bia Mesquita a 64% chance to beat Macy Chiasson, who is at 36%. The headline number blends our machine-learning model with the betting market and fan sentiment.
Matchup Patterns (31%) drives Mesquita's 68% edge — Chiasson's counter-strategy starts with neutralizing that.
How the fight ends
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 41%, submission 32%, KO/TKO 27%. The most likely way this 3-round women's bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 41%, over 1.5 rounds 72%, over 2.5 rounds 58%.
Key factors
- Bia Mesquita matchup patterns advantage
- Macy Chiasson experience factor advantage
- Bia Mesquita recent form trajectory advantage
Tale of the tape
| Macy Chiasson | Bia Mesquita | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-6 | 3-0 |
| Age | 35 | 36 |
| Height | 5'11" (180 cm) | – |
| UFC fights | 14 | 3 |
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