Muslim Salikhov vs Ignacio Bahamondes: Result and Prediction

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · September 12, 2026

Result

Ignacio Bahamondes defeated Muslim Salikhov by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado on September 12, 2026.

The FIGHT//AI model had Ignacio Bahamondes as the favourite at 67%, so the result went with the model.

Model prediction

The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Ignacio Bahamondes a 67% chance to beat Muslim Salikhov (Muslim Salikhov 33%).

The betting market prices Muslim Salikhov at 20% (+372) and Ignacio Bahamondes at 80% (-551), with the bookmaker margin removed.

Our model is more positive on Muslim Salikhov than the bookmakers: 41% for Muslim Salikhov against the market's 20%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.

Salikhov rides a wave of recent momentum, but Bahamondes' striking volume and wrestling could dismantle Salikhov’s rhythm, making this a clash of styles with significant implications for both fighters.

How the model expected it to end

Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 41%, decision 41%, submission 19%. The most likely way this 3-round welterweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.

Fight length: goes the distance 41%, over 1.5 rounds 75%, over 2.5 rounds 60%.

Key factors

• Salikhov momentum from recent fights
• Bahamondes striking volume advantage
• Salikhov defensive edge in exchanges

Tale of the tape

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