Kaue Fernandes vs Jalin Turner: Result and Prediction
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · August 15, 2026
Result
Jalin Turner defeated Kaue Fernandes by KO/TKO in round 1 (0:39) at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry on August 15, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Jalin Turner as the favourite at 50%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Kaue Fernandes a 50% chance to beat Jalin Turner (Jalin Turner 50%).
The betting market prices Kaue Fernandes at 42% (+127) and Jalin Turner at 58% (-157), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Kaue Fernandes than the bookmakers: 55% for Kaue Fernandes against the market's 42%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Fernandes riding a wave of momentum and knockout threat, he’ll need to overcome Turner's savvy experience and defensive prowess to avoid getting caught in a striking exchange.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 42%, decision 38%, submission 20%. The most likely way this 3-round lightweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 38%, over 1.5 rounds 72%, over 2.5 rounds 57%.
Key factors
- Fernandes momentum advantage
- Turner experience edge
- Turner defensive skills
Tale of the tape
| Kaue Fernandes | Jalin Turner | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-2 | 9-6 |
| Age | 31 | 31 |
| Height | 6'0" (183 cm) | 6'3" (191 cm) |
| UFC fights | 5 | 15 |
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