Cesar Almeida vs Donte Johnson Prediction, Odds and Pick
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · November 14, 2026
Who wins Cesar Almeida vs Donte Johnson?
FIGHT//AI gives Donte Johnson a 73% chance to beat Cesar Almeida, who is at 27%. The headline number blends our machine-learning model with the betting market and fan sentiment.
The betting market prices Cesar Almeida at 40% (+135) and Donte Johnson at 60% (-168), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Donte Johnson than the bookmakers: 17% for Cesar Almeida against the market's 40%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Johnson riding a hot winning streak while Almeida struggles, this clash pits Johnson's grappling dominance against Almeida's striking volume in a must-win for both fighters.
How the fight ends
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 44%, KO/TKO 40%, submission 16%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 44%, over 1.5 rounds 73%, over 2.5 rounds 59%.
Key factors
- Johnson grappling control advantage
- Almeida striking volume edge
- Johnson defensive metrics superiority
Tale of the tape
| Cesar Almeida | Donte Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-3 | 3-0 |
| Age | 38 | 28 |
| Height | 6'1" (185 cm) | 5'8" (173 cm) |
| UFC fights | 6 | 3 |
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