Deiveson Figueiredo vs Song Yadong: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · May 30, 2026
Result
Song Yadong defeated Deiveson Figueiredo by Submission in round 2 (04:42:00) at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo on May 30, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Song Yadong as the favourite at 70%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Song Yadong a 70% chance to beat Deiveson Figueiredo (Deiveson Figueiredo 30%).
The betting market prices Deiveson Figueiredo at 19% (+409) and Song Yadong at 81% (-598), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Deiveson Figueiredo than the bookmakers: 35% for Deiveson Figueiredo against the market's 19%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Yadong's striking power and cardio could exploit Figueiredo's defensive vulnerabilities, leading to a potential finish in the later rounds.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 47%, KO/TKO 34%, submission 20%. The most likely way this 5-round bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 47%, over 1.5 rounds 82%, over 2.5 rounds 70%.
Key factors
- Yadong's striking power
- Figueiredo's defensive gaps
- Yadong's cardio advantage
Tale of the tape
| Deiveson Figueiredo | Song Yadong | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 14-7 | 13-4 |
| Age | 39 | 29 |
| Height | 5'5" (165 cm) | 5'8" (173 cm) |
| UFC fights | 21 | 17 |
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