David Martinez vs Marlon Vera: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · February 28, 2026
Result
David Martinez defeated Marlon Vera by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh on February 28, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had David Martinez as the favourite at 55%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave David Martinez a 55% chance to beat Marlon Vera (Marlon Vera 45%).
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 52%, KO/TKO 32%, submission 16%. The most likely way this 3-round bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 52%, over 1.5 rounds 84%, over 2.5 rounds 72%.
Key factors
- Marlon Vera experience factor advantage
- David Martinez matchup patterns advantage
- David Martinez recent form trajectory advantage
Tale of the tape
| David Martinez | Marlon Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 16-11 |
| Age | 28 | 34 |
| Height | 5'6" (168 cm) | 5'8" (173 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 27 |
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