Richie Miranda vs Manoel Sousa: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · August 8, 2026
Result
Manoel Sousa defeated Richie Miranda by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld on August 8, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Manoel Sousa as the favourite at 67%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Manoel Sousa a 67% chance to beat Richie Miranda (Richie Miranda 33%).
The betting market prices Richie Miranda at 31% (+204) and Manoel Sousa at 69% (-273), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Sousa's striking power and grappling finesse may exploit Miranda's recent struggles, leading to a potential finish in this matchup.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 59%, decision 23%, submission 19%. The most likely way this 3-round lightweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 23%.
Key factors
- Sousa's elite striking power
- Miranda's recent struggles
- Sousa's grappling advantage
Tale of the tape
| Richie Miranda | Manoel Sousa | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Age | 32 | 29 |
| Height | 5'9" (175 cm) | 5'9" (175 cm) |
| UFC fights | 1 | 2 |
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