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Ollie Schmid vs Keiichiro Nakamura Prediction, Odds and Pick

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady · November 7, 2026

Who wins Ollie Schmid vs Keiichiro Nakamura?

FIGHT//AI gives Keiichiro Nakamura a 64% chance to beat Ollie Schmid, who is at 36%. The headline number blends our machine-learning model with the betting market and fan sentiment.

In a clash of elite strikers, Nakamura's higher KO threat and defensive prowess may exploit Schmid's cardio-heavy approach, leading to a potential finish.

How the fight ends

Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 84%, decision 13%, submission 3%. The most likely way this 3-round featherweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.

Fight length: goes the distance 13%.

Key factors

  • Nakamura's striking power
  • Schmid's cardio advantage
  • Defensive metrics favor Nakamura

Tale of the tape

Ollie SchmidKeiichiro Nakamura
Record0-11-0
Age2628
Height–5'10" (178 cm)
UFC fights11

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