Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · September 5, 2026
Result
Modestas Bukauskas defeated Oumar Sy by KO/TKO in round 2 (3:57) at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse on September 5, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Modestas Bukauskas at only 36%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Oumar Sy a 64% chance to beat Modestas Bukauskas (Modestas Bukauskas 36%).
The betting market prices Modestas Bukauskas at 34% (+176) and Oumar Sy at 66% (-227), with the bookmaker margin removed.
With Bukauskas' UFC experience against Sy's grappling dominance and striking power, this fight is a compelling clash of seasoned strategy versus explosive athleticism.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 50%, KO/TKO 30%, submission 20%. The most likely way this 3-round light heavyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 50%, over 1.5 rounds 78%, over 2.5 rounds 66%.
Key factors
- Bukauskas experience could aid adjustments
- Sy grappling control may dominate the fight
- Sy striking power poses significant threat
Tale of the tape
| Modestas Bukauskas | Oumar Sy | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-5 | 3-3 |
| Age | 33 | 31 |
| Height | 6'3" (191 cm) | 6'4" (193 cm) |
| UFC fights | 14 | 6 |
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