Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert: Result and Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · October 10, 2026

Result

Julius Walker defeated Gerald Meerschaert at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan on October 10, 2026.

The FIGHT//AI model had Julius Walker as the favourite at 62%, so the result went with the model.

Model prediction

The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Julius Walker a 62% chance to beat Gerald Meerschaert (Gerald Meerschaert 38%).

The betting market prices Julius Walker at 71% (-311) and Gerald Meerschaert at 29% (+226), with the bookmaker margin removed.

Our model is more positive on Gerald Meerschaert than the bookmakers: 55% for Julius Walker against the market's 71%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.

Experience Factor collides with matchup patterns — a genuine toss-up where game plan execution decides everything.

How the model expected it to end

Method of victory, either fighter: decision 40%, submission 35%, KO/TKO 26%. The most likely way this 3-round light heavyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.

Fight length: goes the distance 40%, over 1.5 rounds 71%, over 2.5 rounds 56%.

Key factors

• Gerald Meerschaert experience factor advantage
• Julius Walker matchup patterns advantage
• Julius Walker grappling control advantage

Tale of the tape

The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.