Francisco Prado vs Charles Radtke: Result and Prediction
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · April 11, 2026
Result
Charles Radtke defeated Francisco Prado by Decision in round 3 (5:00) at UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg on April 11, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Charles Radtke as the favourite at 59%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Charles Radtke a 59% chance to beat Francisco Prado (Francisco Prado 41%).
Radtke's grappling prowess and recent momentum should exploit Prado's struggles, potentially leading to a decisive finish via submission or ground control.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 47%, KO/TKO 35%, submission 19%. The most likely way this 3-round welterweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 47%, over 1.5 rounds 84%, over 2.5 rounds 74%.
Key factors
- Radtke's grappling edge
- Prado's defensive solidity
- Recent form favors Radtke
Tale of the tape
| Francisco Prado | Charles Radtke | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-5 | 5-2 |
| Age | 24 | 36 |
| Height | 5'10" (178 cm) | 5'10" (178 cm) |
| UFC fights | 6 | 7 |
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