Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · October 10, 2026
Result
Niko Price defeated Leon Shahbazyan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan on October 10, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Niko Price as the favourite at 50%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Niko Price a 50% chance to beat Leon Shahbazyan (Leon Shahbazyan 50%).
The betting market prices Niko Price at 43% (+122) and Leon Shahbazyan at 57% (-153), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Niko Price than the bookmakers: 64% for Niko Price against the market's 43%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Thin tape on Shahbazyan — model projects Price at 64% but treat this as a sketch, not a blueprint.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 45%, KO/TKO 36%, submission 19%. The most likely way this 3-round welterweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 45%.
Key factors
- Price's experience in high-pressure moments
- Shahbazyan's takedown pressure advantage
- Price's striking volume could sway judges
Tale of the tape
| Niko Price | Leon Shahbazyan | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-11 | 0-1 |
| Age | 37 | 31 |
| Height | 6'0" (183 cm) | 6'4" (193 cm) |
| UFC fights | 19 | 1 |
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