Nurullo Aliev vs Grant Dawson Prediction, Odds and Pick
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · October 24, 2026
Who wins Nurullo Aliev vs Grant Dawson?
FIGHT//AI gives Grant Dawson a 53% chance to beat Nurullo Aliev, who is at 47%. The headline number blends our machine-learning model with the betting market and fan sentiment.
Dawson's grappling prowess and fight IQ will clash with Aliev's recent momentum, making for an intriguing battle between experience and raw potential in the lightweight division.
How the fight ends
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 60%, KO/TKO 20%, submission 20%. The most likely way this 3-round lightweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 60%, over 1.5 rounds 89%, over 2.5 rounds 79%.
Key factors
- Dawson grappling control advantage
- Aliev recent momentum boost
- Dawson cardio edge late in fight
Tale of the tape
| Nurullo Aliev | Grant Dawson | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 12-2 |
| Age | 26 | 33 |
| Height | 5'10" (178 cm) | 5'10" (178 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 14 |
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