Bruno Lopes vs Navajo Stirling: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · March 28, 2026
Result
Navajo Stirling defeated Bruno Lopes by KO/TKO in round 2 (4:05) at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer on March 28, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Navajo Stirling as the favourite at 75%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Navajo Stirling a 75% chance to beat Bruno Lopes (Bruno Lopes 25%).
The betting market prices Bruno Lopes at 18% (+427) and Navajo Stirling at 82% (-650), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Bruno Lopes than the bookmakers: 35% for Bruno Lopes against the market's 18%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
In a clash of styles, Stirling's elite defense and cardio may neutralize Lopes' striking volume, leading to a potential finish in the later rounds.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 48%, decision 44%, submission 9%. The most likely way this 3-round light heavyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 44%.
Key factors
- Stirling's elite defense
- Lopes' striking volume
- Stirling's cardio advantage
Tale of the tape
| Bruno Lopes | Navajo Stirling | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 6-0 |
| Age | 33 | 29 |
| Height | 6'2" (188 cm) | 6'4" (193 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 6 |
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