Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan Prediction, Odds and Pick
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · October 24, 2026
Who wins Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan?
FIGHT//AI gives Petr Yan a 55% chance to beat Merab Dvalishvili, who is at 45%. The headline number blends our machine-learning model with the betting market and fan sentiment.
The betting market prices Merab Dvalishvili at 38% (+147) and Petr Yan at 62% (-186), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Merab Dvalishvili than the bookmakers: 49% for Merab Dvalishvili against the market's 38%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Dvalishvili's relentless grappling style facing off against Yan's striking precision and defensive prowess, this clash promises a thrilling battle of wills where momentum and stamina could sway the tide.
How the fight ends
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 70%, KO/TKO 20%, submission 10%. The most likely way this 5-round bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 70%, over 1.5 rounds 94%, over 2.5 rounds 89%.
Key factors
- Yan striking volume advantage
- Dvalishvili grappling control
- Dvalishvili cardio edge late
Tale of the tape
| Merab Dvalishvili | Petr Yan | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 14-3 | 12-4 |
| Age | 36 | 34 |
| Height | 5'7" (170 cm) | 5'7" (170 cm) |
| Reach | 68" (173 cm) | – |
| Stance | Orthodox | – |
| UFC fights | 17 | 16 |
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