Mark Vologdin vs Borislav Nikolic: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · August 1, 2026
Result
Borislav Nikolic defeated Mark Vologdin by Decision in round 3 at UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez on August 1, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Borislav Nikolic as the favourite at 59%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Borislav Nikolic a 59% chance to beat Mark Vologdin (Mark Vologdin 41%).
The betting market prices Mark Vologdin at 38% (+148) and Borislav Nikolic at 62% (-184), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Mark Vologdin than the bookmakers: 45% for Mark Vologdin against the market's 38%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With both fighters boasting high finish rates and heavy hands, this clash of Vologdin's striking prowess against Nikolic's grappling edge promises an explosive showdown where every strike could be the last.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 53%, submission 31%, decision 15%. The most likely way this 3-round bantamweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 15%.
Tale of the tape
| Mark Vologdin | Borislav Nikolic | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1-1 | 1-0 |
| Age | 26 | 34 |
| Height | 5'5" (165 cm) | 5'9" (175 cm) |
| UFC fights | 1 | 1 |
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