Yadier del Valle vs Darren Elkins: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · August 8, 2026
Result
Yadier del Valle defeated Darren Elkins by KO/TKO in round 1 (0:35) at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld on August 8, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Yadier del Valle as the favourite at 71%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Yadier del Valle a 71% chance to beat Darren Elkins (Darren Elkins 29%).
The betting market prices Yadier del Valle at 84% (-833) and Darren Elkins at 16% (+489), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Darren Elkins than the bookmakers: 66% for Yadier del Valle against the market's 84%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Elkins' veteran savvy clashing against Valle's elusive defense, this bout promises a tactical chess match where experience meets agility, leaving fans guessing how rounds will unfold.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 50%, submission 28%, KO/TKO 21%. The most likely way this 3-round featherweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 50%, over 1.5 rounds 79%, over 2.5 rounds 67%.
Key factors
- Elkins experience in high-pressure moments
- Valle defensive skills limit Elkins' offense
- Elkins grappling control neutralizes Valle's striking
Tale of the tape
| Yadier del Valle | Darren Elkins | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 19-12 |
| Age | 30 | 42 |
| Height | 5'9" (175 cm) | 5'10" (178 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 31 |
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