Jose Henrique vs Ding Meng: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · May 30, 2026
Result
Jose Henrique defeated Ding Meng by Decision - Split in round 3 (05:00:00) at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo on May 30, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Jose Henrique at only 43%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Ding Meng a 57% chance to beat Jose Henrique (Jose Henrique 43%).
The betting market prices Jose Henrique at 47% (+103) and Ding Meng at 53% (-127), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Ding Meng than the bookmakers: 35% for Jose Henrique against the market's 47%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Meng's elite striking and knockout threat loom large over Henrique, who must rely on grappling to counter a three-fight losing streak and Meng's finishing ability.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 66%, decision 21%, submission 13%. The most likely way this 3-round welterweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 21%.
Key factors
- Meng's elite striking power
- Henrique's grappling advantage
- Recent streak concerns for Henrique
Tale of the tape
| Jose Henrique | Ding Meng | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Age | 23 | 31 |
| Height | 6'3" (191 cm) | 6'2" (188 cm) |
| UFC fights | 0 | 2 |
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