Alexia Thainara vs Amanda Lemos: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · August 8, 2026
Result
Alexia Thainara defeated Amanda Lemos by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld on August 8, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Alexia Thainara as the favourite at 68%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Alexia Thainara a 68% chance to beat Amanda Lemos (Amanda Lemos 32%).
The betting market prices Alexia Thainara at 69% (-264) and Amanda Lemos at 31% (+203), with the bookmaker margin removed.
With Thainara surging on a winning streak and Lemos reeling from losses, this clash pits fresh momentum against seasoned experience, making for a compelling stylistic showdown.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 52%, KO/TKO 27%, submission 22%. The most likely way this 3-round women's strawweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 52%, over 1.5 rounds 82%, over 2.5 rounds 70%.
Key factors
- Thainara momentum from winning streak
- Lemos experience in high-pressure fights
- Thainara grappling control advantage
Tale of the tape
| Alexia Thainara | Amanda Lemos | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 9-7 |
| Age | 29 | 39 |
| Height | 5'4" (163 cm) | 5'4" (163 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 16 |
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