Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Alexander Volkov: Result and Prediction
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · May 9, 2026
Result
Alexander Volkov defeated Waldo Cortes Acosta by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland on May 9, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Alexander Volkov as the favourite at 58%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Alexander Volkov a 58% chance to beat Waldo Cortes Acosta (Waldo Cortes Acosta 42%).
The betting market prices Waldo Cortes Acosta at 41% (+129) and Alexander Volkov at 59% (-163), with the bookmaker margin removed.
With Volkov's vast experience and defensive savvy against the rising momentum of Cortes Acosta, this clash promises a thrilling test of skill versus hunger in the heavyweight division.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 44%, KO/TKO 44%, submission 13%. The most likely way this 3-round heavyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 44%, over 1.5 rounds 74%, over 2.5 rounds 58%.
Key factors
- Volkov's experience in high-pressure moments
- Acosta's recent momentum and confidence
- Volkov's superior defensive capabilities
Tale of the tape
| Waldo Cortes Acosta | Alexander Volkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-3 | 14-5 |
| Age | – | 38 |
| Height | – | 6'7" (201 cm) |
| UFC fights | 8 | 19 |
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