Angel Pacheco vs Santiago Luna: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · February 28, 2026
Result
Santiago Luna defeated Angel Pacheco by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh on February 28, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Santiago Luna as the favourite at 75%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Santiago Luna a 75% chance to beat Angel Pacheco (Angel Pacheco 25%).
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 61%, KO/TKO 26%, submission 13%. The most likely way this 3-round bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 61%, over 1.5 rounds 88%, over 2.5 rounds 79%.
Key factors
- Santiago Luna striking volume & accuracy advantage
- Santiago Luna matchup patterns advantage
- Santiago Luna takedown pressure advantage
Tale of the tape
| Angel Pacheco | Santiago Luna | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Age | 35 | 22 |
| Height | 5'8" (173 cm) | 5'8" (173 cm) |
| UFC fights | 2 | 3 |
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