Jose Daniel Medina vs Ryan Gandra: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · February 28, 2026
Result
Ryan Gandra defeated Jose Daniel Medina by KO/TKO in round 1 (0:41) at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh on February 28, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Ryan Gandra as the favourite at 64%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Ryan Gandra a 64% chance to beat Jose Daniel Medina (Jose Daniel Medina 36%).
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 46%, KO/TKO 39%, submission 15%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 46%, over 1.5 rounds 74%, over 2.5 rounds 62%.
Key factors
- Ryan Gandra striking volume & accuracy advantage
- Ryan Gandra ko threat advantage
- Ryan Gandra matchup patterns advantage
Tale of the tape
| Jose Daniel Medina | Ryan Gandra | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Age | – | 31 |
| Height | – | 6'1" (185 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 3 |
The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.