Brian Ortega vs Dan Hooker Prediction, Odds and Pick
UFC Fight Night: Prochazka vs. Stirling · November 21, 2026
Who wins Brian Ortega vs Dan Hooker?
FIGHT//AI gives Brian Ortega a 52% chance to beat Dan Hooker, who is at 48%. The headline number blends our machine-learning model with the betting market and fan sentiment.
With Hooker’s striking volume and experience against Ortega's grappling prowess and current momentum, this matchup promises a thrilling battle of control versus chaos.
How the fight ends
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 41%, decision 35%, submission 25%. The most likely way this 3-round lightweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 35%, over 1.5 rounds 76%, over 2.5 rounds 60%.
Key factors
- Hooker striking volume advantage
- Ortega grappling control potential
- Hooker defensive edge in exchanges
Tale of the tape
| Brian Ortega | Dan Hooker | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-5 | 14-11 |
| Age | 36 | 37 |
| Height | 5'9" (175 cm) | 6'0" (183 cm) |
| UFC fights | 13 | 25 |
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