SuYoung You vs Elijah Smith: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · March 14, 2026
Result
Elijah Smith defeated SuYoung You by Submission in round 2 (1:04) at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos on March 14, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Elijah Smith as the favourite at 63%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Elijah Smith a 63% chance to beat SuYoung You (SuYoung You 37%).
The betting market prices SuYoung You at 30% (+217) and Elijah Smith at 70% (-271), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on SuYoung You than the bookmakers: 42% for SuYoung You against the market's 30%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With both fighters riding win streaks, the striking volume and grappling finesse of the younger Smith clash with You's defensive prowess and decision-making, setting the stage for an intriguing battle.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 60%, KO/TKO 24%, submission 15%. The most likely way this 3-round bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 60%.
Key factors
- Smith striking volume advantage
- You grappling control edge
- You cardio advantage in later rounds
Tale of the tape
| SuYoung You | Elijah Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 3-0 |
| Age | 31 | 24 |
| Height | – | 5'9" (175 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 3 |
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