Joaquin Buckley vs Sean Brady: Result and Prediction
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · May 9, 2026
Result
Sean Brady defeated Joaquin Buckley by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland on May 9, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Sean Brady as the favourite at 58%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Sean Brady a 58% chance to beat Joaquin Buckley (Joaquin Buckley 42%).
The betting market prices Joaquin Buckley at 40% (+139) and Sean Brady at 60% (-173), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Brady's grappling prowess and submission threat clash with Buckley's knockout power, setting the stage for a thrilling battle of styles as both fighters seek to rebound from recent losses.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 44%, KO/TKO 36%, submission 20%. The most likely way this 3-round welterweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 44%, over 1.5 rounds 79%, over 2.5 rounds 64%.
Key factors
- Brady's elite grappling
- Buckley's KO power
- Strong defenses on both sides
Tale of the tape
| Joaquin Buckley | Sean Brady | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 11-6 | 9-2 |
| Age | 32 | 34 |
| Height | 5'8" (173 cm) | 5'9" (175 cm) |
| UFC fights | 17 | 11 |
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