Ricky Simon vs Montel Jackson: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · September 26, 2026
Result
Montel Jackson defeated Ricky Simon at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos on September 26, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Montel Jackson as the favourite at 55%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Montel Jackson a 55% chance to beat Ricky Simon (Ricky Simon 45%).
The betting market prices Ricky Simon at 34% (+175) and Montel Jackson at 66% (-228), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Ricky Simon than the bookmakers: 44% for Ricky Simon against the market's 34%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Jackson's striking power and recent form may exploit Simon's vulnerabilities, especially given his current losing streak and potential chin issues.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 54%, KO/TKO 28%, submission 18%. The most likely way this 3-round bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 54%, over 1.5 rounds 87%, over 2.5 rounds 76%.
Key factors
- Jackson's striking power
- Simon's grappling control
- Recent form favors Jackson
Tale of the tape
| Ricky Simon | Montel Jackson | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 10-6 | 9-4 |
| Age | 34 | 34 |
| Height | 5'6" (168 cm) | 5'10" (178 cm) |
| UFC fights | 16 | 13 |
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