Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · June 27, 2026
Result
Ismail Naurdiev defeated Marvin Vettori at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres on June 27, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Ismail Naurdiev as the favourite at 58%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Ismail Naurdiev a 58% chance to beat Marvin Vettori (Marvin Vettori 42%).
With Naurdiev riding high on momentum and Vettori desperate to snap a losing streak, their contrasting trajectories make this clash a pivotal moment for both fighters’ careers.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 65%, KO/TKO 19%, submission 16%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 65%, over 1.5 rounds 90%, over 2.5 rounds 82%.
Key factors
- Vettori's experience may guide him
- Naurdiev's momentum favors him
- Vettori's defense mitigates damage
Tale of the tape
| Marvin Vettori | Ismail Naurdiev | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-8 | 4-3 |
| Age | 33 | 30 |
| Height | 6'0" (183 cm) | 6'0" (183 cm) |
| UFC fights | 17 | 7 |
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