Charles Oliveira vs Max Holloway: Result and Prediction
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · March 7, 2026
Result
Charles Oliveira defeated Max Holloway by Decision - Unanimous in round 5 (5:00) at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 on March 7, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Charles Oliveira at only 43%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Max Holloway a 57% chance to beat Charles Oliveira (Charles Oliveira 43%).
In a battle of elite striking versus grappling, Holloway's relentless pace and volume will test Oliveira's durability and submission skills, making for a thrilling clash of contrasting styles.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 39%, KO/TKO 32%, submission 29%. The most likely way this 5-round lightweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 39%.
Tale of the tape
| Charles Oliveira | Max Holloway | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 25-11 | 24-9 |
| Age | 37 | 35 |
| Height | 5'10" (178 cm) | 5'11" (180 cm) |
| Reach | 74" (188 cm) | – |
| Stance | Orthodox | – |
| UFC fights | 36 | 33 |
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