Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · October 10, 2026
Result
Allen Frye Jr. defeated RJ Harris at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan on October 10, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Allen Frye Jr. at only 33%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave RJ Harris a 67% chance to beat Allen Frye Jr. (Allen Frye Jr. 33%).
The betting market prices Allen Frye Jr. at 26% (+263) and RJ Harris at 74% (-370), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Allen Frye Jr. than the bookmakers: 43% for Allen Frye Jr. against the market's 26%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Thin tape on both — model projects Harris at 57% but treat this as a sketch, not a blueprint.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 51%, KO/TKO 36%, submission 13%. The most likely way this 3-round heavyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 51%.
Key factors
- Harris striking volume advantage
- Harris recent form momentum
- Harris KO threat potential
Tale of the tape
| Allen Frye Jr. | RJ Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Age | 28 | 28 |
| UFC fights | 1 | 1 |
The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.