Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Alexander Volkov: Result and Prediction
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · May 9, 2026
Result
Alexander Volkov defeated Waldo Cortes-Acosta at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland on May 9, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Alexander Volkov as the favourite at 58%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Alexander Volkov a 58% chance to beat Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Waldo Cortes-Acosta 42%).
The betting market prices Waldo Cortes-Acosta at 39% (+144) and Alexander Volkov at 61% (-182), with the bookmaker margin removed.
In a clash of styles, Volkov's striking power and elite defense may overwhelm Cortes-Acosta, who relies on cardio and recent momentum to survive the onslaught.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 55%, KO/TKO 31%, submission 13%. The most likely way this 3-round heavyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 55%, over 1.5 rounds 84%, over 2.5 rounds 72%.
Key factors
- Volkov's striking power
- Cortes-Acosta's cardio
- Recent form advantage
Tale of the tape
| Waldo Cortes-Acosta | Alexander Volkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 14-5 |
| Age | 34 | 38 |
| Height | 6'4" (193 cm) | 6'7" (201 cm) |
| UFC fights | 0 | 19 |
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