Daria Zhelezniakova vs Melissa Croden: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · April 18, 2026
Result
Melissa Croden defeated Daria Zhelezniakova by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott on April 18, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Melissa Croden at only 45%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Daria Zhelezniakova a 55% chance to beat Melissa Croden (Melissa Croden 45%).
Zhelezniakova's solid defense will be tested against Croden's elite knockout power, making for a compelling clash of styles with potential for a dramatic finish.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 51%, KO/TKO 41%, submission 8%. The most likely way this 3-round women's bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 51%.
Key factors
- Zhelezniakova's defensive skills
- Croden's knockout power
- Zhelezniakova's cardio advantage
Tale of the tape
| Daria Zhelezniakova | Melissa Croden | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Age | – | 36 |
| Height | – | 5'10" (178 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 3 |
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