Felipe Bunes vs Edgar Chairez: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · February 28, 2026
Result
Edgar Chairez defeated Felipe Bunes by Decision - Split in round 3 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh on February 28, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Edgar Chairez as the favourite at 65%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Edgar Chairez a 65% chance to beat Felipe Bunes (Felipe Bunes 35%).
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 48%, submission 33%, KO/TKO 20%. The most likely way this 3-round flyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 48%, over 1.5 rounds 78%, over 2.5 rounds 65%.
Key factors
- Edgar Chairez matchup patterns advantage
- Edgar Chairez recent form trajectory advantage
- Edgar Chairez takedown pressure advantage
Tale of the tape
| Felipe Bunes | Edgar Chairez | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 4-3 |
| Age | 37 | 31 |
| Height | 5'7" (170 cm) | 5'7" (170 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 7 |
The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.