Zachary Reese vs Ryan Gandra: Result and Prediction
UFC 329: Mcgregor vs. Holloway 2 · July 11, 2026
Result
Ryan Gandra defeated Zachary Reese by KO/TKO in round 1 (1:15) at UFC 329: Mcgregor vs. Holloway 2 on July 11, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Ryan Gandra as the favourite at 58%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Ryan Gandra a 58% chance to beat Zachary Reese (Zachary Reese 42%).
The betting market prices Zachary Reese at 45% (+112) and Ryan Gandra at 55% (-138), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Ryan Gandra than the bookmakers: 35% for Zachary Reese against the market's 45%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Gandra's elite striking and defensive prowess should exploit Reese's grappling limitations, potentially leading to a decisive finish in the later rounds.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 56%, decision 34%, submission 10%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 34%.
Key factors
- Gandra's elite striking
- Reese's limited grappling
- Cardio advantage for Gandra
Tale of the tape
| Zachary Reese | Ryan Gandra | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 3-0 |
| Age | 32 | 31 |
| Height | 6'3" (191 cm) | 6'1" (185 cm) |
| UFC fights | 0 | 3 |
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