Felipe Franco vs Levi Rodrigues Jr.: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · July 18, 2026
Result
Felipe Franco defeated Levi Rodrigues Jr. by KO/TKO in round 2 (1:40) at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman on July 18, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Felipe Franco at only 44%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Levi Rodrigues Jr. a 56% chance to beat Felipe Franco (Felipe Franco 44%).
The betting market prices Felipe Franco at 42% (+125) and Levi Rodrigues Jr. at 58% (-158), with the bookmaker margin removed.
In a clash of elite talents, Rodrigues Jr's KO threat may overwhelm Franco's defense, especially given the latter's lack of UFC experience and potential chin vulnerabilities.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 67%, decision 25%, submission 8%. The most likely way this 3-round light heavyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 25%.
Key factors
- Rodrigues' KO threat
- Franco's defensive skills
- Cardio advantage for Rodrigues
Tale of the tape
| Felipe Franco | Levi Rodrigues Jr. | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Age | 26 | 30 |
| Height | 6'1" (185 cm) | – |
| UFC fights | 2 | 2 |
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