Randy Brown vs Kevin Holland: Result and Prediction
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · April 11, 2026
Result
Kevin Holland defeated Randy Brown by Decision in round 3 (5:00) at UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg on April 11, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Kevin Holland as the favourite at 50%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Randy Brown a 50% chance to beat Kevin Holland (Kevin Holland 50%).
The betting market prices Randy Brown at 51% (-116) and Kevin Holland at 49% (-109), with the bookmaker margin removed.
With Brown's defensive prowess and elite cardio, he must withstand Holland's striking power and submission threats to avoid a finish in this pivotal matchup.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 43%, KO/TKO 30%, submission 27%. The most likely way this 3-round welterweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 43%, over 1.5 rounds 77%, over 2.5 rounds 63%.
Key factors
- Brown's defensive edge
- Holland's KO potential
- Brown's cardio advantage
Tale of the tape
| Randy Brown | Kevin Holland | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 14-8 | 16-12 |
| Age | 36 | 34 |
| Height | 6'3" (191 cm) | 6'3" (191 cm) |
| UFC fights | 22 | 28 |
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