Gerald Meerschaert vs Jacob Malkoun: Result and Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 2, 2026

Result

Jacob Malkoun defeated Gerald Meerschaert by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates on May 2, 2026.

The FIGHT//AI model had Jacob Malkoun as the favourite at 71%, so the result went with the model.

Model prediction

The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Jacob Malkoun a 71% chance to beat Gerald Meerschaert (Gerald Meerschaert 29%).

The betting market prices Gerald Meerschaert at 13% (+655) and Jacob Malkoun at 87% (-1228), with the bookmaker margin removed.

Our model is more positive on Gerald Meerschaert than the bookmakers: 39% for Gerald Meerschaert against the market's 13%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.

Malkoun's grappling prowess and cardio will likely overwhelm Meerschaert, who struggles with recent form and could be vulnerable to Malkoun's pressure tactics despite his submission skills.

How the model expected it to end

Method of victory, either fighter: decision 47%, submission 33%, KO/TKO 20%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is on the scorecards.

Fight length: goes the distance 47%, over 1.5 rounds 77%, over 2.5 rounds 64%.

Key factors

• Malkoun's grappling control
• Meerschaert's submission threat
• Malkoun's cardio advantage

Tale of the tape

The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.